activeaero Wrote:I already posted data that Chicago had it's peak level of gun homicide AFTER the ban, and now over 20 years later the ratio of gun crimes to non-gun crimes, as a percentage of total crime, has INCREASED.
And it seems no one still wants to address the fact that violent crime in the United States has been continuously falling for approximately 15 years......as gun ownership has increased. People keep crying about the violent crime rate in the U.S. but it has been doing EXACTLY what everyone wants, and it has been doing that for a very long time.
The Chicago example is not a useful one at all. An isolated example of anything cannot tell us any information about the bigger picture. It could be that if similar strict gun laws were enacted in other parts of America, the gun homicide rate in those places would rise like it did in Chicago, on average. Or, it could be that the gun homicide rate in those places would fall on average. What happened in Chicago cannot tell us anything about what would happen on average.
It's like if you knew of only one case of leukemia, in which the patient survived, and determined the prognosis of the disease based on that one case. "Oh, you have leukemia? Well, you'll probably live. This one guy did." This is something you determine statistically, so obviously one case doesn't tell you anything.
Also, it's fairly obvious that the primary cause of crime is socio-economic factors. If violent crime is dropping in America, it's because socio-economic factors are improving. The question is, would violent encounters end in major injury or death less often if gun bans were enacted in America. In other words, would violent crime with horrible results have dropped MORE than it has if guns were illegal/banned/harder to get. And then, is the avoidance of those injuries and deaths a great enough benefit to justify the ban. Obviously, anything that is a personal freedom, and something that serves as a hobby for a lot of people, has some value to it. Is that value worth the number of lives that would be saved and the injuries suffered?
Of course, I don't have the numbers, and the numbers are really hard to determine, so I don't have an answer. But I'm posting because I don't think your response really addresses the issue.
Edited: 2010-07-11, 8:03 pm