Eikyu Wrote:"Cold turkey" is abrupt cessation of all nicotine use. It is the quitting method used by 80[5] to 90%[6] of long-term successful quitters in some populations. In a large British study of ex-smokers in the 1980s, before the advent of pharmacotherapy, 53% of the ex-smokers said that it was “not at all difficult” to stop, 27% said it was “fairly difficult”, and the remainder found it very difficult.[2] Methods advanced by J. Wayne McFarland and Elman J. Folkenburg (an M.D. and a pastor who wrote their Five Day Plan in about 1959),[7][8] Joel Spitzer and John R. Polito (smoking cessation educators whose work is free at WhyQuit.com)[9] and Allen Carr (who founded Easyway® during the early 1980s)[10] are cold turkey plans.
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The best method is to just stop smoking.
I don't follow your logic.
Let's say, we found that in country C there is method M that is used 90% of people who achieved goal G. Does this prove M is an effective method to achieve G? No.
For example, if among all the people living in C who tried to achieve G only 1% succeeded while another country C' where there is another method M' is much more popular has a higher success rate, it suggests that M is less effective than M' as long as the difference in success rate is statistically significant and the difference in culture etc. is negligible.
Simply put, if M is popular in country C and people there fail more often, then you'd think it sucks while if they usually achieve G, you'd think it's an excellent method.
Hence, "It is the quitting method used by 80[5] to 90%[6] of long-term successful quitters in some populations" doesn't suggest that cold turkey is effective at all. If anything, if "some populations" have lower success rates, then it could suggest the otherwise, i.e., the quoted fact is pretty neutral about effectiveness.
I don't follow your logic regarding the next sentence either. They say, "In a large British study of ex-smokers in the 1980s, before the advent of pharmacotherapy, 53% of the ex-smokers said that it was “not at all difficult” to stop, 27% said it was “fairly difficult”, and the remainder found it very difficult." I don't think this suggests cold turkey is effective.
Let's say, 99% of people who used method M and achieved goal G says achieving G is easy. Does this suggest M is an effective method? No.
For example, if 99% of people who used method M, whether they succeeded or failed, say achieving G is difficult, then it is very likely that M is ineffective. What it suggests is that it is rare that people who use M succeed but if you happen to be a very rare person who used M and achieved G, you find it easy.
I think the Wikipedia's cold turkey section is not meant to suggest that cold turkey is effective. Rather it simply states a fact.
Edited: 2010-06-28, 1:24 am