IceCream Wrote:If the problems with resource consumption were only about energy, i might agree here. Unfortunately, it's not. Whether we like it or not, the earth does have a carrying capacity, just like every other environment. Technical solutions are going to be absolutely crucial, just like they have been for the past 50 years. But they aren't even close to solving all our problems. (And even where they're doing a pretty good job, people still reject them, such as GM foods).They really aren't close to solving the problems because no one has felt the pressure of the lack of resources yet. As this becomes more eminent you'll see more money poured into research to deal with it. To date, the research has been reactive, nothing has really been all that proactive.
On the example of GM foods though. Sure people can make a fuss about them now and make campaigns against them and push for "Back to Natural" solutions, but I'd bet large sums of money that once your fresh produce starts getting too expensive for you to justify paying, you'll switch back to cheaper GM food that can be produced in mass. This isn't just a question of "if" it'll happen, its a question of when.
You can see the same pressures occurring within personal transportation. In the US especially, which has always been about "The freedom of your car," you can see high gas prices putting pressure on people. They drive less, take more public trans., ride a bike, and in increasing instances have started to move back to the urban centers/closer where they work. Other solutions like hybrid cars are more popular now too and there are fewer SUVs and gas guzzling cars on the road. All it took was for the price of gas, a resource, to push past a point that they deemed too unreasonable to pay.
Water will be the same way, and I suspect it will actually be an even harder hit to people than gas prices. People think of water as something thats always there. You turn a faucet and you get fresh water. You still have to pay for it, but for most people its just "a few pence." Most of the reason for this is thanks to grey water reprocessing. Even in developed countries where water is scare (ex: Arizona/Nevada in US, desert regions), you still haven't seen water reach levels where its impossible to shower, get a drink, or flush the toilet. In the case of irrigation though, we'll see crops move toward GM crops that don't need much water (already happened/ing) and probably see production centers for these crops shift away from areas of drought to places with more rainfall.
Quote:For example, you can't engineer us more space. Space is a finite resource. We can use the space we have more or less efficiently, and technology is a big part of that. But choosing what we use the space for is equally important. The simple fact of it is that using it to grow meat is not a particularly efficient way of going about things, and we couldn't support the world's population eating meat to the extent that Americans do even now. We could continue to cut down rainforests to increase our capacity to grow meat (for a while anyway), but that endangers other systems that ultimately we are reliant on for our survival.Space can be engineered to make use of that which we aren't using. But I will admit I was thinking about this in the sense of human issues and not "where are we going to put this cow." Of course when you are talking about "running out of space for livestock to graze on" you are basically sailing straight for "factory farming" as the solution to space. The enviromentalists and animal rights people don't want that...
Quote:I guess it's better to think of changing the way we use resources rather "cutting" resource consumption. In a lot of cases, it's just a matter of changing culture, which is definitely NOT impossible. Think how much attitudes have changed just in our lifetime. It's definitely doable, especially if we don't think of it as an all or nothing choice....so what you end up with is putting cows back in the field and resulting in an increased demand in meat on a lack of supply. In other words, cutting back. And while attitudes have changed in our lifetime, I don't think you can really compare that to this situation. A change in attitude is something like: "Gays are evil!!" -> "Gays are nasty, but I guess they deserve some rights." When you are talking about the meat issue though, this isn't the same, the meat issue is more like. "I think I'll cook 2 hamburgers (1/4lb/each over 100gs/each!) and a hot dog tonight with some potatoes and green peas. Then a chicken breast tomorrow with a salad." -> "Tonight I'll cook 1 hamburger (1/4lb) with some veggies on the side." This will probably even more
That's not an attitude change, that's a LIFESTYLE change, and depending on what part of a person's life you are changing, many people will buck it hard. This isn't something you change in a single person's life, this is something that takes generations. If you aren't poor and have had money for food all your life and are health minded, then you learned in school that part of the 5 food groups on the food pyramid (a US thing, maybe the UK has something similar) is meat. Additionally, there's a good chance your parents raised you to eat a certain way. In my family there was almost always a serving of meat on the table for dinner, be that chicken or beef (father was picky about fish). This is brain washing, its hard/nigh impossible to move from having lived most of your life feeling that "meat needs to be part of the meal" to "meat is maybe a thing you have once a week."
I agree that something needs to be done, but I think the big question is what course of action that is.
"IceCream Wrote:"Scientists agree that in order to keep GHG emissions to 2000 levels the projected 9 billion inhabitants of the world (in 2050) need to each consume no more than 70-90 grams (McMichael et al. 2007, Barclay 2011) of meat per day."70-90g a day haha. So basically asking people to eat half of what they do in a day, since people in the US, UK, and much of the EU consume about 200-250g of meat a day on average. It would definitely bring the daily caloric intake back down close to 2000 a day. US averages about 2700 a day now.
So, aiming for that level might be a good start. We can reassess again once more energy is produced from renewable sources.

Yeah, I think I know what you're getting at: animal products that are labeled as being more ethical, such as cage-free eggs, or grass-fed beef, tend to be more expensive than the factory farm products. And I definitely agree that it's entirely for the money, at least in the US. I dunno about the standards for those labels in other countries, but in the US "cage free" means nothing, the only thing a company has to do to get that label is give the birds 